A renowned analyst has warned that America has to “urgently” step up preparations because China will likely defeat it in a conflict over Taiwan in just one week.

Oriana Skyler Mastro, a strategist for the US Air Force and an expert on China’s military, issued the terrifying warning following years of simulations that showed America suffering humiliating losses.

While Joe Biden has pledged that the United States will defend the island, China claims Taiwan as part of its sovereignty and has vowed to reunite with the mainland, using force if necessary.

Despite not being recognised internationally, Taiwan is functionally an independent nation; yet, any efforts to achieve full independence will almost probably result in conflict.

Skyler Mastro described “a worst case scenario and the one that’s hardest for the United States to deal with” if that occurred.

Furthermore, over the years, simulations have depicted the US losing a battle with China, with some war games depicting Beijing “running rings” around them.

According to Skyler Mastro, China launched a “huge salvo of missiles” to start the conflict.

The attack destroys the only operational air base in the area, and a week later, Chinese forces are firmly established on Taiwan in a conflict that the US might “definitely” lose.

According to Skyler Mastro, an attack on Kadena on the Japanese island of Okinawa might render the base inoperable “in hours” and result in the loss of “60% of the aircraft.”

The main amphibious assault will then immediately follow the invasion on Taiwan proper, this time using missiles to target air defences, she claimed.

They will also assault Taiwan’s political targets in an effort to “get the government to submit.”

China will start conducting cyberattacks in an effort to take down communications, notably satellites, when the United States acts to support Taiwan.

The duration of this initial phase “would probably be three days, if everything goes as planned, everything I’ve just laid out.”

The capture of Taiwan will be seen as a win rather than the Chinese goal of engaging in a lengthy war with a still technologically superior America “which it will lose.”

If they seize Taiwan before the United States can mount a defence, have they defeated the United States? she queried.

“They are still capable of doing that even with a weaker military.

They are aware that if we can keep them from landing for two to three weeks before the full power of the US Pacific forces enters the picture, they will be in difficulty and may even lose.

“It’s finished if they can have troops on the ground in Taiwan in a week.

“And once they’re there, the United States is powerless to remove them.

“We won’t engage in the kind of battle required to drive them from the island,”

A new book titled Defending Taiwan by foreign policy specialists Hal Brands and Michael Beckley also describes the missile attack scenario.

The “most frightening” scenario, according to Brands and Beckley, would involve Beijing attempting to execute a “surprise missile attack” on American soldiers in Asia.

China has invested billions in its military in recent years to achieve president Xi Jinping’s objective of parity with the US by 2027.

It recently launched a carrier with 100,000 aircraft, the first to equal the power of the US Navy.

The US might lose a conflict with China, according to simulations from the past.

2019 saw the RAND company think-tank conduct a war exercise in which the US received “its ass handed to it.”

Skyler Mastro claims that war scenarios over the years have revealed “major vulnerabilities,” but the US hasn’t fully realised the magnitude of the situation.

One of the issues is the inability to convince regional allies to consent to the stationing of US warplanes and missiles that can compete with China’s.

According to Skyler Mastro, there are further challenges that need to be addressed, including the region’s inability to quickly ramp up its armaments production and even its deficiencies in ammunition supplies.

“How concerned about the preparations should we be? highly concerned

For the 20 years that I’ve been doing this, these risks have been well recognised.

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